Happy New Year

by Admin 5. January 2014 18:35

Plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose?


Well, it is a new year and the change freezes are being lifted, the new budgets are confirmed (even if you can’t actually spend them until March) and the new project priorities are being rejigged for the last time before you actually have to start delivering against them. Everything feels fresh and new and you are ready for anything; much as you were this time last year…

But this time it will be different, you can feel it! This time senior management won’t slash the budgets half way through the year. This time you won’t lose your contractors when you are forced to cut their rates to meet the new corporate rate card. And this time you won’t get all of your priorities changed by (pick one or more from the following list) the new CEO; the new CIO; the new CDO; a new CISO; Audit failures; an acquisition; a divestment; a newly discovered accounting error; a massive overspend by another team; a hideous fraud; the regulators; something else on your own personal list.

So OK, this is just another year like last year and presumably like next year. Well, enjoy it; what have you got to lose? If you are in one of the major growth areas such as Big Data for instance you management will be valuing you and your future looks secure. For some of the rest of you, perhaps this is the year to learn some new skills? Get your hands on some new technologies and make some time during your busy day COBOL programming to look up at what the rest of us are doing. Perhaps instead of making New Year’s resolutions about not drinking quite so much you should open that beer in the evening and settle down with a good PDF or eBook.

So what are the trends to look out for? Well here are some of my headline thoughts:

Big Data – Of course. Big data will start to be seen as a significant enabler technology. Mangy of the early adopters will retrench what they are doing and big companies will start having big data strategies. In particular the business will catch-on to big data and the promise it offers and things like Business Intelligence will go Big Data in a big way!

Information Security – This is an issue every year but this year will see a big reaction to Snowden as companies look again at their strategies and change technologies, move geographies and generally try to insulate themselves from the implications which Edward Sonwden’s revelations have created. Expect to see some huge hacks this year, particularly as the bad guys learn to exploit some of the weaknesses introduced by government.

The Internet of things – The rate of growth of connected things (rather than computers) has and continues to accelerate. This is creating new opportunities and in some cases wholly new sectors and those who ignore this at best won’t be part of the revolution. Many businesses still aren’t clear on the relevance of this and will spend the year doing nothing but scratching their heads.

Cloud – This is a tricky call, not least because people are waking up to the fact that the cloud just means someone else’s computers… Snowden and some of the legal judgements in the US are creating some real doubt and uncertainty and I predict that this will slow the rate of growth of Cloud based services.

Mobile – I don’t think that my daughter has ever made a call on her mobile phone. I suspect she is doesn’t realise she can. This year will see mobile move from phone to wrist to wearable to all sorts of other places. And the best thing for the vendors is that people will have multiple devices. How great when your consumer has you tablet, your phone, your watch, your glasses and your ball gown…

I realise that making predictions just sets me up for failure but I’m banking on the fact that none of you will remember this post by this time next year.

Happy New Year.

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Comments (1) -

1/6/2014 5:41:45 PM #

Big data: "Mangy of the early adopters ..." freudian slip? I'm intrigued about who you consider 'mangy'.


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